Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 7:06 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 97th percentile for 3-pointers scored, averaging 3.3 per game this year.
Paul George has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Clippers's remarkable 41.0% rate of sunk threes places highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 19 games (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

Paul George has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a hard matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
At home, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).