Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 4.7 mark, Paul George's bricked three-point shots have increased this season to 5.6 per game.
Paul George has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

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