Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has sunk 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Paul George has averaged 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one for threes; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.5%).
The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Clippers.

Favors Under

Paul George has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).