Patrick Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 7:59 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+123/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has totaled 4.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
Patrick Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.