Patrick Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 27, 2025 9:30 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Bulls.
Patrick Williams stands to get a boost in efficiency for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has averaged 0.3 offensive rebounds per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this standard.
The Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).