Patrick Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has totaled 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Patrick Williams will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Bulls will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).