Patrick Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 9:30 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has averaged 1.3 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's leaders in this category over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The Bulls have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Bulls.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.