Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 16, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has made 4.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Patrick Williams is expected to get a boost in performance in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bulls are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 81.5% mark, Patrick Williams's foul-shot efficiency has regressed this season to 70.9%.