Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Patrick Williams has made 48.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 23.6% less than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Patrick Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.