Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 7:49 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 3.4 rate, Patrick Williams's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 4.6 per game.
As it relates to offense, the Chicago Bulls's excellent 116.5 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
Patrick Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Williams places in the 16th percentile for scoring proficiency with a bad 37.6% rate this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.