Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Patrick Williams

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 10:10 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has successfully made 45.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.0% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
The Bulls have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a good matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Chicago Bulls.

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Patrick Williams will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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