Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 7:15 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one; when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (21.1).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Among all players in the NBA, Patrick Williams places in the 77th percentile for free-throw ability with an outstanding 86.1% rate this year.

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has converted 35.4% of his shots from the field at home this year, putting him in the 16th percentile among all players in the league.
Patrick Williams has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are at home, their opposition has collected 10.7 offensive boards per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
The matchup against David Roddy is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing other starting PFs this year, they have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game (25th percentile).