Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 9:24 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's outstanding 122.2 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 4th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The Bulls have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Chicago Bulls will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Kings).
Patrick Williams will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has successfully made 35.6% of his shots from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).