Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
Patrick Williams has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a tough matchup.
The Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.