Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's impressive 119.1 points per game ranks 4th-most in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Patrick Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Over the last 24 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Patrick Williams stands to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has made 39.2% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have tallied 15.8 points per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).