Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has successfully made 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's made in all games this year.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have shot 47.7% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Patrick Williams has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).