Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 6:34 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has sunk 52.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 8.7 field goals per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Patrick Williams has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Patrick Williams will likely suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.