Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Patrick Williams has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Patrick Williams will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Patrick Williams slots into the 18th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a feeble 38.8% rate this year.
The Bulls will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).