Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 10:25 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has converted 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year on the road.
The Bulls have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-highest in the league) against the Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Bulls have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Bulls.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.