Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 19, 2024 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Patrick Williams has successfully made 87.5% of his free throw attempts while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, making this a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.