Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 7:24 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
The matchup against Cleveland may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has converted 38.4% of his shot attempts from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 4th-lowest FG% in the league this year (44.1%).
The Cavaliers have given up the 27th-most offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.