Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Patrick Williams measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point prowess with a superb 38.2% rate since the start of last season.
The showdown with Dorian Finney-Smith places in the 88th percentile with rival starting PFs burying a massive 35.5% of their shots from downtown since the start of last season.
The Bulls have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have notched 14.6 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
Patrick Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production for all stats.