Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has sunk 59.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 9.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing away from home.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.
The Bulls are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Bulls have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Lakers (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Patrick Williams has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The slowest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Patrick Williams is expected to experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.