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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patrick Williams has converted 39.4% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Patrick Williams has converted 96.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns are at home (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to offense, the Chicago Bulls's feeble 110.6 points per game settles in as the 4th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.1%).

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

This year, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

Patrick Williams stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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