Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has sunk 51.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 8.7 buckets per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).
Patrick Williams has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 102.0 points per game places worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Patrick Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.