Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 7:44 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (55.8%).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Bulls's lackluster 108.1 points per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Hornets are the visiting squad (13th-least in the NBA).