Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has converted 55.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made from three overall this year.
Patrick Williams has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one; when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 5thbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Bulls's poor 110.0 points per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 25.6 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, finding it easy to draw fouls.