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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patrick Williams has converted 53.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 15.1% higher than he's made overall this year.

The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have grabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (shortening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

The matchup against San Antonio may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the Spurs are away from home (27th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Patrick Williams comes in at the 22nd percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a lackluster 39.4% rate this year.

In terms of offense, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 110.3 points per game places 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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