Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has successfully made 51.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 7.3% more than he's sunk overall this year away from home.
Patrick Williams has successfully made 55.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 16.1% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Bulls.
Patrick Williams has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 11 games while on the road, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (42.0%).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).