Patrick Beverley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Beverley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 1:04 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Beverley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Beverley has successfully made 47.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Patrick Beverley has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 119.4 points per game ranks 4th-best in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 14.8 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, designating this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Patrick Beverley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.