Patrick Beverley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Beverley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Beverley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Patrick Beverley lands in the 98th percentile for 3-point prowess at home with a phenomenal 61.9% rate this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a strong one for threes; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (46.2%).
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.
As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.
Patrick Beverley will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Beverley rates in the 23rd percentile for shooting efficiency with a bad 39.5% rate this year.
Patrick Beverley has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Patrick Beverley has attempted 0.2 foul shots per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.