Patrick Beverley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Beverley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Beverley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Beverley rates in the 99th percentile for three-point ability playing at home with a an excellent 66.7% rate this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a tough one; when the LA Clippers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (112.2).
Patrick Beverley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted just 15.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Clippers).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).