Patrick Beverley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Beverley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Beverley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Beverley has made 45.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have snagged 8.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).
Patrick Beverley has successfully made 92.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 11.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted a measly 21.4 free throws per game when the Bulls are playing at home this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Patrick Beverley has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 39.5 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).