Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 13, 2025 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 54.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Pat Connaughton has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (25th percentile).
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 120.8 points per game rates 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on three-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should increase possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.