Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 6.9 mark, Pat Connaughton's shots from the field have been reduced this year to 4.6 per game.
Pat Connaughton has sunk a lowly 1.1 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.9 mark last year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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