Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 7.9 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 80th percentile for threes scored when playing on the road, posting 2.1 per game this year.
Pascal Siakam has played 32.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In terms of offense, the Pacers's impressive 48.9% field goal rate measures as the 4th-most in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).
Pascal Siakam stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.