Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (49.9%).
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game this year when the Orlando Magic are on their home court (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has attempted a measly 15.8 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 18.5 mark last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam registers in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a colossal 0.0 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Indiana Pacers will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
Compared to last year's 5.2 clip, Pascal Siakam's foul shots hit have declined this year to 3.6 per game.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.8 foul shots per game ranks 6th-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.

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