Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam lands in the 95th percentile for shots from the field scored, posting a whopping 8.4 per game this year.
Pascal Siakam has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from three overall this year at home.
Pascal Siakam has played 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 123.7 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.4 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam has attempted a mere 5.1 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 6.7 mark last season.

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