Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam lands in the 90th percentile for shots from the field drained without the home court advantage, averaging a massive 7.7 per game this year.
Pascal Siakam has made 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Pascal Siakam has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, opposing starting PFs have posted the 29th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (45.6%).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.

Favors Under

The Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Pascal Siakam figures to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.