Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 91st percentile for shots hit, compiling an enormous 8.0 per game this year.
Pascal Siakam has made 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 34.9% more than he's made from three in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goal attempts (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, resulting in a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
While playing on the road, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (16.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Hornets are on the road (13th-least in the league).