Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
The 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has made a lowly 7.6 buckets per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 8.9 rate last season.
Pascal Siakam has made a lowly 7.5% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 27.8 mark last year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 2.2 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a hard matchup.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).

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