Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has been called for just 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.2 fouls per game last season.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Pascal Siakam will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 8.9 clip, Pascal Siakam's shots from the field sunk have regressed this year to 7.3 per game.
In contrast to last year's 32.0% rate, Pascal Siakam's 3-point performance has tailed off this year to 18.9%.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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