Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 10.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The matchup against the Wizards is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has sunk 21.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, -10.8% lower than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Pascal Siakam will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production across the board.

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