Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 5:23 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+123/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 33.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Pacers's exceptional 39.6% rate of made threes while at home places 3rd-most in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.2).
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).