Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has put up a lowly 4.9 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.9 assists per game last season.
Pascal Siakam has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.7 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Pascal Siakam ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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