Paolo Banchero Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 8.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 higher than he's posted overall this season at home.
Paolo Banchero has tallied 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 12thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (85th percentile).
The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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