Paolo Banchero Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has averaged 6.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The Magic have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 6thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Paolo Banchero will likely see a decline in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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