Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 15.6 rate, Paolo Banchero's field goal attempts have surged this season to 17.7 per game.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Orlando Magic.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 9th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero places in the 84th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Magic.

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