Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero registers in the 95th percentile, registering a massive 22.9 points per game this year.
Paolo Banchero has successfully made 43.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 11.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on the road.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a good one for shots from the field; when the Hornets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (8.7).
Paolo Banchero has attempted 7.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 108.0 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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