Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 3:22 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 23.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Paolo Banchero has tallied 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 8th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Knicks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has made 8.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Knicks are at home, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (18.6%).
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.